Arvidsjaur
Source: Live Arvidsjaur (YouTube) · YouTube embed
Source: NOAA SWPC · GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences · Updated: -
| Night | Highest Kp | NOAA scale | Chance here |
|---|---|---|---|
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Colour shows the probability of aurora overhead from the NOAA OVATION model for the next 30-90 minutes. The darker side of the globe is night: only there can the aurora be seen.
The higher the Kp, the farther from the pole the aurora can be seen. From Kp 5 NOAA calls it a geomagnetic storm (scale G1-G5). The last column lists cities where the aurora may appear low on the horizon at that Kp (our approximate model).
| Kp | NOAA scale | What it means | Where it may be visible |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | - | quiet | Edinburgh, Oslo, Tromsø, Rovaniemi, Reykjavík, Fairbanks |
| 4 | - | quiet | Stockholm, Helsinki, Tallinn, Dublin, Calgary |
| 5 | G1 | minor storm | Copenhagen, Riga, Vancouver, Montreal |
| 6 | G2 | moderate storm | London, Gdańsk, Gdynia, Sopot, Łeba, Hel |
| 7 | G3 | strong storm | Białystok, Poznań, Warsaw, Wrocław, Paris, Chicago |
| 8 | G4 | severe storm | Kraków, Zakopane, Munich, Prague, New York, Hobart |
| 9 | G5 | extreme storm | Vienna, Madrid, Barcelona, Rome, Milan, Melbourne |
Cameras pointed at the sky in Lapland, Iceland, Canada and Alaska. The aurora shows only at night, under clear skies.
Source: Live Arvidsjaur (YouTube) · YouTube embed
Source: City of Rovaniemi (YouTube) · YouTube embed
Source: Starlapland / Samuli Korvanen (YouTube) · YouTube embed
In our approximate model the aurora may appear low on the northern horizon in Wrocław at a Kp of about 7 or higher. With a higher Kp it is brighter and reaches higher in the sky.
Usually between 10 pm and 2 am local time, on a clear night, away from city lights. Look north.
During weaker activity it often shows up mainly on phone or camera photos (long exposure). During strong geomagnetic storms it is visible to the naked eye.
Geomagnetic latitude (approx.): 50.2°
How we estimate the chance: we compare NOAA's Kp forecast with an approximate aurora visibility boundary for the city's geomagnetic latitude. It is an estimate, not a guarantee - clouds and light pollution also decide whether you will see it.